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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.78+6.57vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.03+1.91vs Predicted
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31.41+2.74vs Predicted
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4Harvard University0.60+4.34vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+4.95vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.13+4.55vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.93+0.03vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.49-2.48vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.20+1.70vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.57-5.66vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20-2.40vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.27-6.78vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.10-7.34vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University0.69-7.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57Bates College0.780.1%1st Place
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3.91Northeastern University2.030.2%1st Place
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5.741.410.1%1st Place
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8.34Harvard University0.600.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.0%1st Place
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10.55University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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7.03Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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5.52Brown University1.490.1%1st Place
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10.7Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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5.34Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
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9.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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6.22University of Vermont1.270.1%1st Place
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6.66Tufts University1.100.1%1st Place
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7.86Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jett Lindelof | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 19.8% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Teo | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Theresa Straw | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% |
| William Delong | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 16.2% |
| Sean Lund | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 23.8% |
| Blake Vogel | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Julian Dahiya | 11.1% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Sean Morrison | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 25.6% |
| Ethan Danielson | 10.8% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Evan Tofolo | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 14.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Grant Schmidt | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.