Race 10A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Christian Cushman 8.1% 10.1% 11.7% 7.5% 10.9% 8.1% 8.0% 8.8% 6.8% 6.4% 6.0% 3.8% 3.1% 0.7%
Julian Dahiya 12.6% 11.6% 11.1% 10.4% 9.4% 8.3% 10.7% 8.2% 6.3% 4.6% 3.1% 1.8% 1.4% 0.5%
Jett Lindelof 5.8% 5.9% 6.1% 6.8% 7.5% 5.4% 7.1% 7.3% 10.3% 9.2% 11.0% 7.5% 6.6% 3.5%
Nolan Cooper 3.7% 5.0% 6.6% 6.1% 6.0% 8.3% 6.5% 8.8% 9.3% 7.4% 10.2% 9.5% 7.3% 5.3%
Blake Vogel 4.8% 6.0% 8.4% 7.3% 6.9% 8.9% 6.8% 9.3% 8.6% 7.8% 9.5% 7.2% 5.6% 2.9%
Grant Schmidt 6.9% 7.5% 7.7% 8.4% 8.8% 8.0% 10.1% 8.2% 7.9% 8.3% 7.0% 6.0% 3.2% 2.0%
Eva Ermlich 20.9% 17.6% 13.9% 13.0% 9.4% 8.4% 6.4% 4.3% 2.6% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
William Delong 3.0% 3.1% 3.9% 4.3% 4.7% 3.7% 4.2% 5.3% 6.0% 8.2% 9.9% 12.5% 13.9% 17.3%
Max Teo 9.5% 9.9% 8.7% 10.7% 11.0% 9.3% 9.7% 9.6% 6.1% 6.2% 3.8% 3.4% 1.4% 0.7%
Theresa Straw 4.8% 4.1% 3.5% 4.8% 7.7% 6.0% 7.1% 8.1% 8.8% 10.9% 9.4% 9.8% 10.3% 4.7%
Sean Lund 2.0% 2.1% 2.2% 2.7% 1.7% 5.4% 4.6% 4.3% 6.2% 7.8% 7.9% 13.2% 16.8% 23.1%
Evan Tofolo 2.9% 2.7% 2.8% 4.1% 3.8% 5.1% 6.4% 6.8% 7.8% 9.6% 9.8% 11.9% 12.4% 13.9%
Sean Morrison 2.6% 1.7% 2.5% 2.9% 2.4% 3.9% 4.2% 4.1% 6.5% 7.1% 9.0% 11.1% 16.7% 25.3%
Ethan Danielson 12.4% 12.7% 10.9% 11.0% 9.8% 11.2% 8.2% 6.9% 6.8% 4.9% 2.3% 1.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.