Race 11A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Theresa Straw 4.3% 4.3% 5.1% 6.4% 7.2% 5.8% 8.2% 7.4% 8.8% 8.4% 10.0% 8.8% 9.3% 6.0%
Nolan Cooper 5.3% 5.1% 6.9% 7.4% 6.0% 7.1% 7.4% 8.0% 8.0% 11.1% 8.5% 8.1% 7.6% 3.5%
Eva Ermlich 20.9% 17.6% 14.3% 11.3% 10.1% 7.1% 7.7% 4.2% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Christian Cushman 8.1% 9.8% 7.6% 10.2% 9.5% 10.3% 7.9% 8.2% 7.9% 6.8% 5.8% 3.8% 3.2% 0.9%
Max Teo 8.9% 10.6% 9.3% 11.0% 10.7% 9.3% 9.0% 6.9% 8.1% 6.3% 4.5% 3.4% 1.1% 0.9%
Grant Schmidt 8.2% 6.2% 6.9% 9.4% 7.7% 9.6% 7.1% 10.1% 8.2% 7.9% 6.7% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0%
William Delong 2.5% 3.0% 4.2% 4.4% 4.9% 5.2% 4.5% 4.4% 6.8% 7.8% 10.9% 11.5% 14.0% 15.9%
Ethan Danielson 12.3% 13.9% 11.9% 9.2% 9.6% 9.2% 7.0% 7.6% 6.5% 5.7% 3.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
Jett Lindelof 6.1% 4.4% 6.2% 5.1% 7.1% 7.4% 8.7% 8.4% 9.5% 8.9% 10.0% 8.2% 6.4% 3.6%
Sean Lund 2.2% 2.0% 2.1% 2.6% 2.5% 3.7% 4.7% 5.2% 5.1% 7.0% 9.4% 12.6% 15.9% 25.0%
Julian Dahiya 11.1% 10.7% 11.8% 9.3% 9.4% 9.6% 9.3% 7.5% 7.0% 4.7% 3.9% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5%
Blake Vogel 5.1% 6.9% 7.4% 6.9% 8.4% 7.4% 9.0% 10.5% 7.8% 7.5% 6.9% 7.6% 5.7% 2.9%
Evan Tofolo 2.9% 3.8% 4.0% 3.6% 4.4% 4.5% 5.1% 6.8% 7.0% 9.3% 10.5% 11.8% 13.6% 12.7%
Sean Morrison 2.1% 1.7% 2.3% 3.2% 2.5% 3.8% 4.4% 4.8% 6.1% 6.8% 8.2% 11.6% 16.6% 25.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.