Race 12A

bu-trophy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Theresa Straw 4.7% 4.5% 5.1% 6.8% 5.7% 7.4% 6.4% 7.8% 9.6% 9.0% 10.0% 8.5% 8.5% 6.0%
Eva Ermlich 20.7% 17.8% 14.7% 12.3% 9.7% 8.8% 6.4% 3.6% 1.9% 1.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Blake Vogel 6.6% 7.2% 7.9% 6.2% 7.6% 6.5% 8.8% 7.1% 9.6% 9.7% 9.1% 6.5% 4.3% 2.9%
Ethan Danielson 10.4% 13.3% 12.1% 10.4% 9.7% 9.6% 9.9% 7.2% 4.8% 5.7% 3.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Christian Cushman 7.1% 9.3% 9.2% 10.5% 9.5% 8.5% 7.8% 8.9% 8.0% 7.0% 6.1% 4.7% 2.5% 0.9%
Grant Schmidt 7.8% 6.6% 7.7% 7.9% 9.5% 8.3% 9.3% 7.8% 8.0% 7.8% 7.5% 5.6% 3.9% 2.3%
Nolan Cooper 5.2% 6.9% 6.4% 5.8% 6.4% 7.3% 7.0% 9.2% 8.3% 8.8% 9.3% 8.5% 6.3% 4.6%
Jett Lindelof 6.7% 5.1% 5.5% 6.9% 7.4% 6.9% 7.5% 6.6% 9.9% 7.9% 9.3% 8.4% 7.6% 4.3%
Julian Dahiya 10.9% 9.8% 9.9% 10.0% 11.6% 10.5% 8.7% 8.2% 7.2% 5.6% 3.5% 2.3% 1.5% 0.3%
Max Teo 9.7% 9.4% 10.9% 11.1% 8.3% 10.2% 8.2% 9.5% 6.4% 6.0% 4.7% 3.4% 1.4% 0.8%
Sean Lund 1.9% 2.2% 2.0% 2.4% 3.3% 3.7% 4.1% 5.9% 5.8% 6.0% 8.7% 13.2% 17.1% 23.7%
William Delong 2.7% 2.3% 3.0% 3.2% 4.0% 4.6% 4.7% 5.1% 7.1% 9.6% 10.9% 12.5% 13.6% 16.7%
Evan Tofolo 3.7% 3.3% 2.8% 4.4% 4.4% 4.1% 6.5% 6.6% 7.8% 9.2% 8.3% 13.4% 13.7% 11.8%
Sean Morrison 1.9% 2.3% 2.8% 2.1% 2.9% 3.6% 4.7% 6.5% 5.6% 5.8% 8.3% 9.6% 18.5% 25.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.