Race 1B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Brayden Benesch 11.5% 14.3% 12.4% 11.3% 12.0% 11.1% 7.1% 7.4% 5.4% 3.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Nathan Selian 12.2% 12.7% 12.6% 10.3% 12.1% 9.8% 9.7% 7.6% 5.5% 4.3% 1.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Bryce Vitiello 7.5% 6.7% 8.1% 8.0% 7.9% 9.0% 10.4% 11.7% 9.7% 9.0% 7.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.5%
Benjamin Stevens 15.2% 15.3% 14.5% 12.8% 9.8% 9.7% 8.2% 6.1% 4.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Xavier Ayala Vermont 2.6% 2.7% 4.0% 4.6% 6.4% 5.2% 6.8% 8.7% 9.4% 13.9% 13.1% 10.0% 8.0% 4.6%
Lucia Loosbrock 14.4% 11.4% 13.6% 12.4% 12.3% 8.7% 7.7% 7.4% 6.2% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Emilia Perriera 1.7% 1.7% 2.1% 2.2% 2.3% 3.2% 4.3% 4.6% 6.6% 8.2% 11.5% 15.1% 19.6% 16.9%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 13.4% 12.2% 9.8% 11.4% 11.1% 10.2% 10.2% 7.1% 5.5% 5.1% 2.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
cole capizzo 1.6% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.1% 2.5% 3.0% 4.0% 5.2% 6.5% 12.2% 16.1% 19.3% 24.0%
Ted Richardsson 2.2% 2.4% 2.1% 2.5% 2.3% 5.0% 7.0% 6.2% 10.1% 12.1% 12.3% 14.7% 13.8% 7.3%
Patricia Winssinger 6.0% 4.5% 6.6% 8.8% 7.5% 9.4% 9.4% 11.0% 12.0% 9.3% 6.9% 5.6% 2.0% 1.0%
Cole Perra 0.5% 1.3% 0.7% 1.8% 1.5% 2.1% 3.1% 2.5% 3.4% 7.4% 9.7% 14.4% 17.7% 33.9%
Harrison Nash 1.8% 2.5% 2.3% 1.9% 3.3% 3.1% 4.0% 5.7% 8.1% 9.2% 14.5% 15.9% 16.0% 11.7%
Gabby Collins 9.4% 10.8% 9.7% 10.5% 10.4% 11.0% 9.1% 10.0% 8.7% 5.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.