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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.52+3.59vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.36+2.91vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.65+1.27vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.14+1.75vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.38+0.16vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University0.82+0.69vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.40-2.27vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.77+2.74vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.50+1.25vs Predicted
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10Harvard University0.08-1.25vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.68-3.99vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90-0.86vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.26-3.50vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.91Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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4.27Bowdoin College1.650.2%1st Place
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5.75Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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5.16University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
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6.69Fairfield University0.820.1%1st Place
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4.73Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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10.74Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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10.25Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
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8.75Harvard University0.080.0%1st Place
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7.01Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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11.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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9.5University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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11.48University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 14.6% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 13.3% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 16.6% | 16.5% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 9.1% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Brayden Benesch | 13.5% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Perriera | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 21.1% |
| Harrison Nash | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 12.7% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| cole capizzo | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 24.3% |
| Ted Richardsson | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 7.4% |
| Cole Perra | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 22.5% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.