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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.52+3.62vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.36+2.94vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.65+1.30vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.82+2.59vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.38+0.17vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.40-0.94vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.14-1.55vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.50+2.06vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.77+1.87vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.26-0.31vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.68-3.98vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90-0.82vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-1.51vs Predicted
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14Harvard University0.08-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.94Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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4.3Bowdoin College1.650.2%1st Place
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6.59Fairfield University0.820.1%1st Place
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5.17University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
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5.06Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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5.45Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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10.06Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
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10.87Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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9.69University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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7.02Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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11.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
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8.55Harvard University0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 14.6% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 12.9% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 16.9% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 9.7% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brayden Benesch | 12.1% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Nash | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 13.1% |
| Emilia Perriera | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 20.0% | 18.7% |
| Ted Richardsson | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 6.9% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| cole capizzo | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 18.7% | 25.1% |
| Cole Perra | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 31.7% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.