Race 4B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nathan Selian 12.2% 12.1% 13.2% 10.5% 11.1% 10.2% 9.7% 6.5% 6.1% 4.4% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Benjamin Stevens 17.4% 17.0% 11.8% 12.5% 12.0% 9.9% 7.1% 6.0% 2.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Bryce Vitiello 7.4% 7.4% 8.3% 8.0% 6.8% 9.0% 10.4% 10.7% 10.7% 9.5% 6.5% 3.3% 1.4% 0.6%
Lucia Loosbrock 12.7% 15.2% 12.2% 12.5% 11.0% 10.6% 6.6% 8.6% 5.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Gabby Collins 8.0% 9.3% 10.5% 10.9% 9.0% 11.6% 9.0% 9.9% 9.1% 5.6% 4.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.3%
Brayden Benesch 12.0% 11.9% 11.6% 11.7% 11.2% 9.5% 9.6% 8.5% 7.0% 4.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Xavier Ayala Vermont 4.1% 3.4% 4.5% 4.9% 5.8% 5.1% 8.0% 7.4% 10.9% 11.2% 13.8% 10.7% 7.2% 3.0%
Harrison Nash 2.1% 1.9% 2.9% 2.5% 3.7% 3.4% 5.5% 4.8% 7.2% 11.1% 10.3% 14.1% 17.3% 13.2%
Patricia Winssinger 6.5% 5.0% 7.7% 5.5% 8.6% 8.6% 10.8% 10.4% 11.9% 9.8% 7.6% 4.3% 2.0% 1.3%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 11.4% 12.1% 10.1% 13.0% 10.6% 10.9% 9.3% 8.1% 6.6% 4.6% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Ted Richardsson 2.4% 2.0% 1.8% 3.2% 3.9% 4.6% 5.2% 7.5% 8.4% 10.4% 14.0% 15.9% 12.4% 8.3%
cole capizzo 1.0% 0.9% 1.7% 2.0% 1.6% 2.4% 2.7% 4.0% 4.5% 6.5% 13.5% 16.6% 18.6% 24.0%
Emilia Perriera 2.1% 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 2.3% 2.7% 3.2% 4.4% 5.9% 9.0% 13.0% 16.3% 17.8% 18.7%
Cole Perra 0.7% 0.6% 2.0% 1.1% 2.4% 1.5% 2.9% 3.2% 3.9% 8.1% 9.2% 12.8% 21.2% 30.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.