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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.61+4.51vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+7.51vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.67+6.17vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.76+4.46vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.79+3.41vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.92+1.95vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.83+1.26vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.50+1.57vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.93+3.01vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.43-3.86vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.54-1.35vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.80+0.80vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.68-4.22vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.29-3.80vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.79-2.54vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16-9.00vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-6.36vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51College of Charleston4.610.1%1st Place
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9.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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9.17Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College3.760.1%1st Place
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8.41Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.95University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.26Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.57Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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6.14Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.65Old Dominion University3.540.0%1st Place
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12.8University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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8.78Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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10.2Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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12.46University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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7.0St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.1%1st Place
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10.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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14.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Blecher | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Patten | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Rebecca Dellenbaugh | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 6.1% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Claire Dennis | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 8.7% |
| Anne Haeger | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Katrina Williams | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 17.4% |
| Maggie Shea | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 12.5% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Krysta Rohde | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% |
| Jamie Curran | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.