← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.42+1.92vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston1.26+5.53vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University1.07+6.43vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University1.31+3.15vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18+6.91vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.69+0.51vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University1.18+1.38vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.01+1.17vs Predicted
-
9Christopher Newport University-0.84+3.73vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont0.24+1.96vs Predicted
-
11Jacksonville University0.48-0.80vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University1.80-6.38vs Predicted
-
13Clemson University0.12-2.41vs Predicted
-
14Tulane University1.73-7.28vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island-0.20-1.86vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy-0.21-2.91vs Predicted
-
17Rollins College0.58-6.54vs Predicted
-
18Northwestern University-0.54-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.92Yale University2.4229.8%1st Place
-
7.53College of Charleston1.266.3%1st Place
-
9.43George Washington University1.073.7%1st Place
-
7.15Roger Williams University1.316.4%1st Place
-
11.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.182.1%1st Place
-
6.51Brown University1.698.2%1st Place
-
8.38Northeastern University1.185.2%1st Place
-
9.17Tufts University1.013.4%1st Place
-
12.73Christopher Newport University-0.841.7%1st Place
-
11.96University of Vermont0.241.9%1st Place
-
10.2Jacksonville University0.482.9%1st Place
-
5.62Georgetown University1.8010.4%1st Place
-
10.59Clemson University0.123.4%1st Place
-
6.72Tulane University1.737.5%1st Place
-
13.14University of Rhode Island-0.201.4%1st Place
-
13.09U. S. Naval Academy-0.211.3%1st Place
-
10.46Rollins College0.583.1%1st Place
-
13.49Northwestern University-0.541.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 29.8% | 22.9% | 16.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Alfortish | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Meara Conley | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Laura Smith | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.7% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Emily Doble | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ashton Loring | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Ava Anderson | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 17.5% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 17.5% |
| Shay Bridge | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Anna Kovacs | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.