← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Eva Ermlich 15.2% 14.0% 14.4% 10.8% 12.7% 10.5% 8.5% 6.2% 4.2% 2.5% 0.9%
Lucy Paskoff 6.5% 6.4% 6.8% 8.1% 7.7% 8.6% 11.1% 10.9% 11.4% 12.2% 10.5%
Elizabeth Cutler 6.8% 9.0% 9.8% 8.2% 9.6% 9.2% 9.3% 9.8% 11.6% 9.7% 7.0%
Marina Garrido 10.1% 10.6% 10.9% 11.1% 10.8% 11.0% 9.7% 9.8% 7.2% 5.1% 3.8%
Izzy Wu-Karr 3.9% 4.1% 4.9% 5.8% 6.5% 6.7% 8.3% 10.8% 11.2% 14.8% 23.2%
Laura Hamilton 21.2% 18.9% 15.2% 14.1% 10.1% 7.5% 5.7% 3.8% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Elizabeth Amelotte 3.5% 3.8% 4.2% 5.5% 5.8% 7.0% 7.0% 10.0% 11.5% 16.7% 25.1%
Avery Canavan 11.0% 10.3% 9.2% 11.3% 9.8% 10.4% 11.3% 8.9% 8.0% 6.3% 3.5%
Ashley Delisser 6.0% 6.2% 7.3% 7.4% 8.2% 9.4% 9.7% 11.3% 11.5% 12.5% 10.5%
Kalea Woodard 9.9% 11.2% 10.8% 10.7% 11.5% 10.8% 9.7% 8.2% 7.6% 6.2% 3.4%
Grace Watlington 6.0% 5.5% 6.6% 7.0% 7.4% 8.8% 9.8% 10.3% 13.0% 13.4% 12.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.