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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.22+3.38vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.37+4.67vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.13+3.12vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.96+1.31vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.52+2.70vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.85-2.40vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.13+0.92vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.93-2.60vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.48-2.31vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.99-4.69vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.65-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Northeastern University1.2215.2%1st Place
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6.67Boston University0.376.5%1st Place
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6.12Fordham University1.136.8%1st Place
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5.31Tufts University0.9610.1%1st Place
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7.7Connecticut College0.523.9%1st Place
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3.6Brown University1.8521.2%1st Place
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7.92University of Vermont-0.133.5%1st Place
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5.4George Washington University0.9311.0%1st Place
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6.69University of Miami0.486.0%1st Place
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5.31University of South Florida0.999.9%1st Place
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6.9Christopher Newport University0.656.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Eva Ermlich | 15.2% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
Lucy Paskoff | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.5% |
Elizabeth Cutler | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.0% |
Marina Garrido | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 23.2% |
Laura Hamilton | 21.2% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Elizabeth Amelotte | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 16.7% | 25.1% |
Avery Canavan | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
Ashley Delisser | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.5% |
Kalea Woodard | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
Grace Watlington | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.