Race 5B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Benjamin Stevens 15.7% 16.0% 14.9% 12.3% 11.1% 7.8% 7.9% 6.5% 3.3% 2.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Brayden Benesch 13.6% 13.0% 12.1% 11.9% 10.8% 10.5% 10.4% 7.8% 4.7% 1.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Xavier Ayala Vermont 4.0% 4.0% 3.1% 5.9% 4.1% 5.5% 6.6% 7.7% 10.8% 11.8% 13.6% 11.8% 8.8% 2.3%
Nathan Selian 9.9% 12.0% 13.6% 11.0% 11.1% 10.5% 8.9% 8.7% 6.6% 3.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Lucia Loosbrock 12.0% 13.1% 13.0% 14.0% 10.3% 10.3% 8.9% 7.0% 4.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2%
Bryce Vitiello 6.8% 5.8% 7.8% 7.6% 9.5% 10.0% 10.1% 10.3% 9.7% 8.9% 7.3% 3.8% 2.2% 0.2%
Patricia Winssinger 6.8% 8.0% 6.5% 7.2% 7.9% 9.8% 9.5% 10.2% 10.9% 9.7% 6.2% 5.0% 1.7% 0.6%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 12.9% 12.8% 11.4% 11.6% 9.8% 9.9% 8.5% 8.3% 6.5% 4.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Gabby Collins 9.7% 7.6% 9.6% 10.1% 11.5% 11.2% 10.5% 10.2% 7.9% 5.8% 2.5% 2.0% 1.3% 0.1%
cole capizzo 1.7% 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 1.6% 1.4% 2.7% 3.7% 5.5% 8.8% 11.7% 15.0% 19.2% 25.0%
Ted Richardsson 2.2% 2.4% 2.1% 1.8% 4.4% 4.9% 6.6% 6.0% 8.7% 11.2% 15.8% 13.8% 12.6% 7.5%
Emilia Perriera 1.4% 1.5% 1.4% 1.9% 1.9% 2.4% 2.9% 4.7% 6.3% 10.2% 12.0% 15.0% 17.7% 20.7%
Harrison Nash 2.4% 1.9% 1.9% 2.4% 3.9% 3.0% 4.4% 5.4% 8.4% 10.6% 12.1% 16.7% 14.2% 12.7%
Cole Perra 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 1.0% 2.1% 2.8% 2.1% 3.5% 5.8% 6.4% 8.5% 13.0% 21.2% 30.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.