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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.52+3.60vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.36+2.90vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.82+3.50vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.65+0.39vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.50+5.24vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.68+1.05vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.40-2.23vs Predicted
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8Harvard University0.08+0.59vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.14-3.26vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.26-0.30vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90+0.21vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.77-1.15vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.38-8.04vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.9Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.5Fairfield University0.820.1%1st Place
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4.39Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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10.24Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
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7.05Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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4.77Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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8.59Harvard University0.080.0%1st Place
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5.74Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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9.7University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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11.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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10.85Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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4.96University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
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11.49University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 14.0% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 12.3% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 14.5% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Nash | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 12.5% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Brayden Benesch | 13.8% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| Gabby Collins | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ted Richardsson | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 8.3% |
| cole capizzo | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 16.5% | 20.1% | 24.1% |
| Emilia Perriera | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 19.5% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 12.1% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cole Perra | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 20.6% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.