← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Lucia Loosbrock 14.0% 14.4% 13.2% 12.1% 11.8% 9.8% 7.3% 6.1% 5.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Nathan Selian 12.3% 12.5% 12.0% 12.0% 10.2% 10.7% 10.8% 7.9% 5.2% 3.5% 1.7% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryce Vitiello 7.7% 7.4% 7.4% 6.9% 9.7% 8.9% 10.4% 10.4% 9.5% 10.3% 6.8% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
Benjamin Stevens 14.5% 16.0% 13.3% 12.2% 11.1% 10.6% 8.1% 6.1% 4.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Harrison Nash 1.6% 1.5% 2.3% 2.9% 2.7% 3.1% 4.5% 6.8% 7.2% 10.1% 12.1% 15.8% 16.9% 12.5%
Patricia Winssinger 5.4% 5.2% 6.9% 7.4% 8.4% 9.9% 8.0% 11.3% 11.8% 9.2% 7.4% 6.7% 2.2% 0.2%
Brayden Benesch 13.8% 13.3% 11.4% 13.4% 9.9% 10.0% 9.2% 8.0% 4.7% 3.0% 1.8% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Xavier Ayala Vermont 3.7% 3.9% 4.4% 3.8% 5.4% 6.1% 6.6% 7.8% 11.5% 10.1% 14.1% 10.9% 7.2% 4.5%
Gabby Collins 9.5% 8.1% 9.7% 10.9% 10.4% 10.2% 11.2% 8.8% 7.9% 6.6% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Ted Richardsson 2.3% 2.2% 2.2% 2.4% 2.8% 5.2% 6.5% 6.2% 8.6% 12.1% 14.5% 14.3% 12.4% 8.3%
cole capizzo 1.1% 1.0% 1.8% 1.2% 1.6% 2.1% 3.0% 4.5% 5.7% 7.7% 9.6% 16.5% 20.1% 24.1%
Emilia Perriera 1.4% 1.2% 1.4% 2.3% 2.4% 1.9% 3.1% 4.3% 6.6% 9.8% 13.4% 14.8% 17.9% 19.5%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 12.1% 12.2% 12.6% 11.6% 11.6% 9.2% 8.9% 8.6% 6.2% 3.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Cole Perra 0.6% 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 2.0% 2.3% 2.4% 3.2% 5.7% 8.2% 9.5% 11.6% 20.6% 30.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.