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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.52+3.55vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.40+2.77vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.97+2.99vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.82+2.47vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.26+4.51vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72+4.75vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.65-2.76vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.68-1.12vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.36-4.05vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.38-5.00vs Predicted
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11Harvard University0.08-2.31vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.77-0.94vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.88+0.32vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-2.35vs Predicted
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15Bates College-1.38-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.77Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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5.99Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
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6.47Fairfield University0.820.1%1st Place
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9.51University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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10.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.24Bowdoin College1.650.2%1st Place
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6.88Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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4.95Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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5.0University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
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8.69Harvard University0.080.0%1st Place
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11.06Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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13.32Middlebury College-1.880.0%1st Place
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11.65University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
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12.18Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 15.0% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Benesch | 12.6% | 15.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emery Diemar | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 7.1% | 5.5% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ted Richardsson | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 2.0% |
| Kevin McNeill | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 7.3% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 17.1% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Selian | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Emilia Perriera | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 7.9% |
| Kate Adams | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 20.2% | 45.3% |
| Cole Perra | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 14.4% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 16.3% | 21.9% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.