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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.52+3.52vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.97+3.96vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.36+1.92vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.38+0.89vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.68+1.89vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.65-1.78vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.82-0.58vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.40-3.10vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72+1.78vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.26-0.38vs Predicted
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11Harvard University0.08-2.36vs Predicted
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12Bates College-1.38+0.46vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-1.19vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.77-3.16vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.88-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.96Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
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4.92Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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4.89University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
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6.89Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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4.22Bowdoin College1.650.2%1st Place
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6.42Fairfield University0.820.1%1st Place
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4.9Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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10.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.62University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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8.64Harvard University0.080.0%1st Place
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12.46Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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11.81University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
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10.84Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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13.13Middlebury College-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 14.4% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emery Diemar | 6.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 12.8% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 13.6% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 15.9% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Brayden Benesch | 12.3% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin McNeill | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 5.9% |
| Ted Richardsson | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 22.6% | 23.5% |
| Cole Perra | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 19.1% | 19.3% | 16.1% |
| Emilia Perriera | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 7.4% |
| Kate Adams | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 19.3% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.