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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.52+3.56vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.82+4.34vs Predicted
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3Harvard University0.08+5.59vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.38+0.85vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.40-0.06vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.68+0.89vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.26+2.52vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.65-3.66vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.97-3.02vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.36-4.94vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72-0.22vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.77-0.83vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-1.52vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.88-0.79vs Predicted
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15Bates College-1.38-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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6.34Fairfield University0.820.1%1st Place
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8.59Harvard University0.080.0%1st Place
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4.85University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
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4.94Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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6.89Tufts University0.680.0%1st Place
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9.52University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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4.34Bowdoin College1.650.2%1st Place
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5.98Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
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5.06Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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10.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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11.17Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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11.48University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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13.21Middlebury College-1.880.0%1st Place
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12.28Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 14.6% | 15.8% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 13.3% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Benesch | 13.5% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 4.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ted Richardsson | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 16.4% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emery Diemar | 7.8% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin McNeill | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 7.6% |
| Emilia Perriera | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 8.8% |
| Kai Latham | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 17.3% | 12.7% |
| Kate Adams | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 20.7% | 42.7% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 21.8% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.