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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.97+4.99vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.40+2.79vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.52+1.56vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.82+2.46vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.36+0.12vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.26+3.57vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.38-2.07vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.65-3.70vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.68-2.29vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72+0.83vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-0.77-0.12vs Predicted
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12Bates College-1.38+0.54vs Predicted
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13Harvard University0.08-4.20vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.88-0.74vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
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4.79Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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4.56Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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6.46Fairfield University0.820.1%1st Place
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5.12Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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9.57University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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4.93University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
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4.3Bowdoin College1.650.2%1st Place
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6.71Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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10.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.88Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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12.54Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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8.8Harvard University0.080.0%1st Place
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13.26Middlebury College-1.880.0%1st Place
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11.27University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emery Diemar | 9.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brayden Benesch | 13.5% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 14.2% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 11.4% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ted Richardsson | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 12.6% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 17.1% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kevin McNeill | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 7.4% |
| Emilia Perriera | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 8.8% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 23.4% | 25.6% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Kate Adams | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 18.7% | 44.7% |
| Kai Latham | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 18.5% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.