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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.52+3.51vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.82+4.33vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.36+1.94vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.65+0.27vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.38+0.03vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72+4.83vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.40-2.10vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.26+1.58vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.68-2.18vs Predicted
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10Harvard University0.08-1.31vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95+0.33vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-1.88+1.41vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.77-1.95vs Predicted
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14Bates College-1.38-1.73vs Predicted
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15Brown University0.97-8.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51Northeastern University1.520.2%1st Place
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6.33Fairfield University0.820.1%1st Place
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4.94Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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4.27Bowdoin College1.650.2%1st Place
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5.03University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
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10.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.9Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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9.58University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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6.82Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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8.69Harvard University0.080.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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13.41Middlebury College-1.880.0%1st Place
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11.05Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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12.27Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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6.04Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 15.3% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 11.7% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 17.0% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin McNeill | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 5.2% |
| Brayden Benesch | 12.7% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ted Richardsson | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Kai Latham | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 18.6% | 15.9% | 12.2% |
| Kate Adams | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 18.5% | 48.0% |
| Emilia Perriera | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 8.9% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 23.7% | 21.5% |
| Emery Diemar | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.