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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.38+3.93vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.97+4.00vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.36+1.99vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.68+2.92vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.40+0.03vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.52-1.42vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.65-2.75vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.82-1.44vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72+1.99vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95+1.57vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-0.77+0.08vs Predicted
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12Harvard University0.08-3.05vs Predicted
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13Bates College-1.38-0.36vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.11-2.12vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.26-5.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
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6.0Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
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4.99Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.92Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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5.03Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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4.58Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.25Bowdoin College1.650.2%1st Place
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6.56Fairfield University0.820.1%1st Place
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10.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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11.57University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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11.08Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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8.95Harvard University0.080.0%1st Place
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12.64Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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11.88Middlebury College-1.110.0%1st Place
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9.62University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 13.7% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emery Diemar | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 13.6% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Brayden Benesch | 11.5% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 14.7% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 16.5% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kevin McNeill | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 8.7% |
| Kai Latham | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 17.8% |
| Emilia Perriera | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 13.0% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 18.4% | 35.2% |
| Quinn Riordan | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 19.6% | 21.2% |
| Ted Richardsson | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.