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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor McHugh 34.9% 28.7% 17.4% 9.6% 5.8% 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel van Heeckeren 10.2% 11.0% 18.0% 18.8% 15.5% 12.2% 7.3% 5.3% 1.3% 0.4%
Edward Herman 33.1% 28.2% 20.7% 10.6% 5.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sage Andrews 2.6% 5.5% 6.4% 11.3% 12.6% 16.0% 14.9% 14.2% 10.8% 5.7%
Isabella Cho 6.4% 9.9% 10.9% 12.0% 17.9% 15.4% 12.8% 7.9% 5.3% 1.5%
Jane Matthews 6.0% 6.7% 8.6% 13.7% 15.3% 14.4% 12.9% 12.3% 7.4% 2.7%
James Knowlton 2.2% 2.4% 5.6% 7.3% 10.1% 11.9% 15.2% 16.7% 18.0% 10.6%
Olivia Blackmer 1.0% 1.1% 2.1% 3.5% 4.3% 5.9% 8.6% 12.4% 17.7% 43.4%
Devyn Weed 1.2% 2.1% 3.2% 3.9% 4.0% 7.8% 11.4% 13.2% 24.8% 28.4%
Greta Shuster 2.4% 4.4% 7.1% 9.3% 9.4% 12.7% 15.1% 17.6% 14.7% 7.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.