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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.80+1.35vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.58+2.21vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.82-0.66vs Predicted
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4Boston University-0.38+2.09vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.11+0.04vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.12-0.55vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.74-0.17vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-1.66+0.33vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.36-1.10vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.56-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Roger Williams University1.800.3%1st Place
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4.21Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
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2.34Roger Williams University1.820.3%1st Place
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6.09Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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5.04Northeastern University0.110.1%1st Place
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5.45Fairfield University-0.120.1%1st Place
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6.83Amherst College-0.740.0%1st Place
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8.33Salve Regina University-1.660.0%1st Place
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7.9University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.45Bates College-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McHugh | 34.9% | 28.7% | 17.4% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 10.2% | 11.0% | 18.0% | 18.8% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Edward Herman | 33.1% | 28.2% | 20.7% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sage Andrews | 2.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 5.7% |
| Isabella Cho | 6.4% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 17.9% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Jane Matthews | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| James Knowlton | 2.2% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 10.6% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 17.7% | 43.4% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 24.8% | 28.4% |
| Greta Shuster | 2.4% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 14.7% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.