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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor McHugh 35.7% 28.7% 16.3% 9.9% 5.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Daniel van Heeckeren 10.3% 11.3% 18.2% 17.3% 15.7% 12.9% 7.0% 4.7% 2.6% 0.0%
Edward Herman 33.0% 29.9% 18.0% 11.6% 5.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sage Andrews 2.7% 5.3% 6.7% 11.3% 12.5% 15.2% 14.0% 16.5% 11.2% 4.6%
Jane Matthews 5.0% 8.5% 9.7% 10.4% 12.8% 17.7% 15.6% 10.1% 7.9% 2.3%
Olivia Blackmer 0.9% 2.0% 2.5% 3.3% 4.1% 5.6% 7.1% 11.0% 20.7% 42.8%
James Knowlton 2.5% 1.9% 5.7% 6.7% 10.2% 12.3% 15.4% 19.0% 15.7% 10.6%
Greta Shuster 2.7% 3.7% 6.6% 10.6% 10.7% 11.1% 16.5% 16.4% 13.4% 8.3%
Isabella Cho 6.0% 7.1% 12.7% 14.8% 16.9% 13.7% 12.8% 9.7% 4.6% 1.7%
Devyn Weed 1.2% 1.6% 3.6% 4.1% 5.6% 8.1% 9.8% 12.5% 23.8% 29.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.