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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.80+1.34vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.58+2.23vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.82-0.67vs Predicted
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4Boston University-0.38+2.09vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-0.12+0.47vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-1.66+2.32vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.74-0.18vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.56-1.57vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.11-3.90vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.36-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34Roger Williams University1.800.4%1st Place
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4.23Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
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2.33Roger Williams University1.820.3%1st Place
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6.09Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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5.47Fairfield University-0.120.1%1st Place
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8.32Salve Regina University-1.660.0%1st Place
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6.82Amherst College-0.740.0%1st Place
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6.43Bates College-0.560.0%1st Place
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5.1Northeastern University0.110.1%1st Place
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7.88University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McHugh | 35.7% | 28.7% | 16.3% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 10.3% | 11.3% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 33.0% | 29.9% | 18.0% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sage Andrews | 2.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 11.2% | 4.6% |
| Jane Matthews | 5.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 2.3% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 20.7% | 42.8% |
| James Knowlton | 2.5% | 1.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 15.7% | 10.6% |
| Greta Shuster | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 8.3% |
| Isabella Cho | 6.0% | 7.1% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 23.8% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.