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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.56+6.64vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.80+4.66vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.05+6.92vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+4.17vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.63+2.51vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.38+2.32vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan3.02+2.98vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.67-0.62vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.49-1.26vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.15-0.77vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.54+0.96vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.18-2.45vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.93-2.92vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.84-3.18vs Predicted
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15Columbia University1.02+1.62vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.89-5.62vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.53-1.53vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.94-7.89vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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6.66Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.92Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.51University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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9.98University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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7.38Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.74Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.23Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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11.96Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Rhode Island3.180.1%1st Place
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10.08Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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10.82Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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16.62Columbia University1.020.0%1st Place
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10.38Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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15.47University of Connecticut1.530.0%1st Place
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10.11Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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12.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Drew Shea | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| David Alfonso | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Vann | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Scott Houck | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 4.1% |
| Alex Whipple | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Gabriel Salk | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
| John Koehler | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 8.7% | 15.6% | 50.1% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Colin Silveno | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 23.9% | 28.3% |
| Michael Saldi | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.