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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.85+2.48vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont-0.13+5.85vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.93+2.37vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.22+0.32vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.13+1.02vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.37+0.68vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.96-1.57vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.99-2.69vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.65-1.95vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.52-2.25vs Predicted
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11University of Miami0.48-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48Brown University1.8522.1%1st Place
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7.85University of Vermont-0.133.8%1st Place
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5.37George Washington University0.9310.2%1st Place
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4.32Northeastern University1.2215.9%1st Place
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6.02Fordham University1.136.8%1st Place
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6.68Boston University0.375.5%1st Place
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5.43Tufts University0.9610.0%1st Place
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5.31University of South Florida0.9911.2%1st Place
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7.05Christopher Newport University0.654.5%1st Place
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7.75Connecticut College0.524.4%1st Place
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6.73University of Miami0.485.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 22.1% | 20.1% | 16.6% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 25.6% |
| Avery Canavan | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 15.9% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 5.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% |
| Marina Garrido | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Kalea Woodard | 11.2% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 12.2% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 23.8% |
| Ashley Delisser | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.