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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.80+1.35vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.58+2.24vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.82-0.66vs Predicted
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4Boston University-0.38+2.09vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.11+0.06vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.12-0.51vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.74-0.19vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-1.66+0.32vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.56-2.57vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.36-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Roger Williams University1.800.3%1st Place
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4.24Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
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2.34Roger Williams University1.820.3%1st Place
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6.09Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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5.06Northeastern University0.110.1%1st Place
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5.49Fairfield University-0.120.1%1st Place
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6.81Amherst College-0.740.0%1st Place
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8.32Salve Regina University-1.660.0%1st Place
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6.43Bates College-0.560.0%1st Place
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7.87University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McHugh | 34.9% | 28.5% | 17.9% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 10.1% | 10.8% | 18.7% | 17.9% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Edward Herman | 32.6% | 29.3% | 19.3% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sage Andrews | 2.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 5.6% |
| Isabella Cho | 6.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Jane Matthews | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| James Knowlton | 2.3% | 2.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 10.9% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 21.6% | 41.3% |
| Greta Shuster | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 13.6% | 7.5% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 23.0% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.