Race 4A

invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor McHugh 34.8% 27.7% 18.2% 10.4% 4.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Edward Herman 33.7% 29.8% 19.3% 11.0% 4.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel van Heeckeren 10.4% 10.7% 16.6% 18.0% 17.0% 12.9% 8.2% 3.7% 2.2% 0.3%
Sage Andrews 2.5% 4.8% 7.8% 10.0% 13.2% 14.0% 17.2% 14.6% 11.1% 4.8%
James Knowlton 3.1% 4.5% 5.6% 7.0% 9.1% 10.5% 14.1% 19.2% 16.3% 10.6%
Jane Matthews 6.1% 6.5% 8.7% 13.0% 15.7% 13.7% 13.9% 12.3% 7.3% 2.8%
Isabella Cho 4.9% 8.3% 11.9% 15.3% 15.8% 16.5% 12.4% 9.4% 4.2% 1.3%
Greta Shuster 2.5% 4.7% 6.4% 8.3% 11.0% 13.8% 15.0% 15.3% 15.1% 7.9%
Olivia Blackmer 0.9% 1.4% 2.1% 3.2% 3.3% 5.6% 8.3% 11.7% 21.4% 42.1%
Devyn Weed 1.1% 1.6% 3.4% 3.8% 6.0% 8.5% 9.5% 13.6% 22.3% 30.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.