← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor McHugh 35.4% 28.3% 17.8% 9.9% 4.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Daniel van Heeckeren 10.2% 11.7% 16.8% 17.5% 16.7% 12.9% 8.2% 4.0% 1.7% 0.3%
Edward Herman 32.0% 29.3% 20.6% 11.3% 4.8% 1.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sage Andrews 2.7% 5.4% 6.4% 10.9% 13.6% 14.4% 16.1% 14.3% 10.9% 5.3%
James Knowlton 3.3% 4.2% 5.9% 7.2% 8.8% 10.2% 14.5% 17.8% 17.6% 10.5%
Jane Matthews 6.1% 6.3% 8.5% 12.0% 16.8% 14.5% 13.4% 11.8% 7.7% 2.9%
Greta Shuster 2.9% 3.2% 6.1% 9.1% 9.6% 15.9% 14.3% 17.4% 13.8% 7.7%
Isabella Cho 5.2% 8.6% 12.8% 14.7% 15.4% 15.7% 11.1% 11.0% 3.7% 1.8%
Devyn Weed 1.2% 2.1% 2.8% 3.8% 5.5% 7.6% 11.6% 12.7% 24.4% 28.3%
Olivia Blackmer 1.0% 0.9% 2.3% 3.6% 4.1% 5.1% 9.0% 10.7% 20.1% 43.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.