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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.80+1.34vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.58+2.23vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.82-0.65vs Predicted
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4Boston University-0.38+2.09vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-0.74+1.71vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.12-0.50vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.56-0.52vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.11-2.92vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.36-1.12vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-1.66-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34Roger Williams University1.800.4%1st Place
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4.23Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
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2.35Roger Williams University1.820.3%1st Place
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6.09Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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6.71Amherst College-0.740.0%1st Place
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5.5Fairfield University-0.120.1%1st Place
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6.48Bates College-0.560.0%1st Place
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5.08Northeastern University0.110.1%1st Place
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7.88University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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8.37Salve Regina University-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McHugh | 35.4% | 28.3% | 17.8% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 10.2% | 11.7% | 16.8% | 17.5% | 16.7% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Edward Herman | 32.0% | 29.3% | 20.6% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sage Andrews | 2.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 5.3% |
| James Knowlton | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 10.5% |
| Jane Matthews | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| Greta Shuster | 2.9% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 7.7% |
| Isabella Cho | 5.2% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 24.4% | 28.3% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 20.1% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.