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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.80+1.36vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.58+2.24vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.82-0.65vs Predicted
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4Amherst College-0.74+2.78vs Predicted
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5Boston University-0.38+0.98vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.11-1.00vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.56-0.51vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.36-0.15vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-1.66-0.63vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-0.12-4.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36Roger Williams University1.800.3%1st Place
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4.24Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
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2.35Roger Williams University1.820.3%1st Place
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6.78Amherst College-0.740.0%1st Place
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5.98Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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5.0Northeastern University0.110.1%1st Place
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6.49Bates College-0.560.0%1st Place
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7.85University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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8.37Salve Regina University-1.660.0%1st Place
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5.58Fairfield University-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McHugh | 34.9% | 28.4% | 17.0% | 10.9% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 10.1% | 11.2% | 17.3% | 17.9% | 16.5% | 13.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Edward Herman | 32.3% | 29.7% | 19.5% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Knowlton | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 10.4% |
| Sage Andrews | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 5.2% |
| Isabella Cho | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Greta Shuster | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 7.2% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.3% | 1.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 14.9% | 21.3% | 29.9% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 19.9% | 43.3% |
| Jane Matthews | 4.3% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.