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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.86+0.85vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.35+1.94vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.57+0.58vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University-0.59+1.80vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.32+0.20vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.80+0.19vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91-0.55vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-1.61-0.30vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.57-3.27vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-2.13-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85Roger Williams University1.860.5%1st Place
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3.94Boston University0.350.1%1st Place
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3.58Brown University0.570.1%1st Place
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5.8Northeastern University-0.590.0%1st Place
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5.2Bates College-0.320.1%1st Place
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6.19University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.45University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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7.7Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
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5.73Fairfield University-0.570.0%1st Place
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8.56Salve Regina University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Lory | 52.2% | 26.3% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Buck Rathbun | 11.4% | 15.8% | 19.3% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Quinn Brighton | 14.1% | 18.4% | 21.3% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 3.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 3.9% |
| Amanda Yolles | 6.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 7.5% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 2.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 8.0% |
| Adrian Whitney | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 25.9% | 25.2% |
| Timothy Cronin | 3.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 4.0% |
| Victoria Sikorjak | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 19.1% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.