← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University1.86+0.91vs Predicted
-
2Brown University0.57+1.62vs Predicted
-
3Boston University0.70+0.43vs Predicted
-
4Fairfield University-0.57+1.84vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University-0.59+0.80vs Predicted
-
6Bates College-0.32-0.75vs Predicted
-
7Amherst College-1.61+0.86vs Predicted
-
8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91-1.56vs Predicted
-
9University of New Hampshire-0.80-2.71vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University-2.13-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.91Roger Williams University1.860.5%1st Place
-
3.62Brown University0.570.1%1st Place
-
3.43Boston University0.700.1%1st Place
-
5.84Fairfield University-0.570.0%1st Place
-
5.8Northeastern University-0.590.1%1st Place
-
5.25Bates College-0.320.1%1st Place
-
7.86Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
-
6.44University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
-
6.29University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
-
8.56Salve Regina University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Lory | 49.8% | 26.8% | 12.3% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Brighton | 13.5% | 17.8% | 21.6% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Luu | 14.8% | 21.2% | 19.2% | 17.9% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Cronin | 3.3% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 3.9% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 3.7% |
| Amanda Yolles | 5.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Adrian Whitney | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 15.8% | 24.0% | 26.9% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 14.7% | 7.3% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 6.6% |
| Victoria Sikorjak | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 18.5% | 48.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.