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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.86+0.90vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.70+1.43vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.57+0.67vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University-0.59+1.86vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.32+0.24vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.57-0.24vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-1.61+0.86vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91-1.56vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.80-2.72vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-2.13-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9Roger Williams University1.860.5%1st Place
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3.43Boston University0.700.1%1st Place
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3.67Brown University0.570.1%1st Place
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5.86Northeastern University-0.590.0%1st Place
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5.24Bates College-0.320.1%1st Place
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5.76Fairfield University-0.570.1%1st Place
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7.86Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
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6.44University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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6.28University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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8.56Salve Regina University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Lory | 50.2% | 27.2% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Luu | 14.8% | 21.6% | 20.6% | 17.0% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Brighton | 13.1% | 16.8% | 21.4% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 2.9% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 3.6% |
| Amanda Yolles | 5.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Timothy Cronin | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 4.3% |
| Adrian Whitney | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 23.4% | 27.0% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 18.8% | 14.1% | 7.6% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 6.2% |
| Victoria Sikorjak | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 19.3% | 48.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.