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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.86+0.85vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.35+1.96vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.57+0.58vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-0.57+1.71vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University-0.59+0.71vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-1.61+1.69vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91-0.52vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.32-2.77vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.80-2.79vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-2.13-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85Roger Williams University1.860.5%1st Place
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3.96Boston University0.350.1%1st Place
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3.58Brown University0.570.1%1st Place
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5.71Fairfield University-0.570.0%1st Place
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5.71Northeastern University-0.590.1%1st Place
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7.69Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
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6.48University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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5.23Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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6.21University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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8.59Salve Regina University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Lory | 53.0% | 25.4% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Buck Rathbun | 11.9% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Quinn Brighton | 14.1% | 19.2% | 20.0% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Cronin | 3.3% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 3.4% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 3.3% |
| Adrian Whitney | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 24.2% | 25.7% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 8.8% |
| Amanda Yolles | 4.5% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 5.1% |
| Victoria Sikorjak | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 17.0% | 51.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.