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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.56+6.60vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.80+4.67vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.94+7.31vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.49+3.89vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.38+3.56vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+1.08vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.84+3.74vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.63-0.49vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.15+0.17vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.05-0.31vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.89-0.56vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-3.52vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.18-4.05vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan3.02-3.98vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.93-4.82vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.54-4.23vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-4.22vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut1.53-2.42vs Predicted
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20Columbia University1.02-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.6Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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6.67Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.31Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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7.89Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
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7.08Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.74Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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7.51University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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9.17Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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9.69Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.44Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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8.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.95University of Rhode Island3.180.1%1st Place
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10.02University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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10.18Connecticut College2.930.0%1st Place
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11.77Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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12.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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15.58University of Connecticut1.530.0%1st Place
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16.57Columbia University1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Scott Houck | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Vann | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Drew Shea | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| David Alfonso | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Alex Whipple | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Gabriel Salk | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 3.7% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 7.3% |
| Colin Silveno | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 21.1% | 28.4% |
| John Koehler | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 18.8% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.