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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University0.93+4.44vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.22+2.42vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.96+2.33vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.99+1.29vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.13+2.89vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.85-2.51vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.13-0.84vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.65-1.04vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.48-2.44vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.37-3.29vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.52-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44George Washington University0.939.4%1st Place
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4.42Northeastern University1.2214.1%1st Place
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5.33Tufts University0.969.6%1st Place
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5.29University of South Florida0.9910.3%1st Place
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7.89University of Vermont-0.133.6%1st Place
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3.49Brown University1.8522.2%1st Place
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6.16Fordham University1.137.4%1st Place
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6.96Christopher Newport University0.655.6%1st Place
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6.56University of Miami0.486.4%1st Place
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6.71Boston University0.376.7%1st Place
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7.75Connecticut College0.524.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Avery Canavan | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
Eva Ermlich | 14.1% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
Marina Garrido | 9.6% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
Kalea Woodard | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
Elizabeth Amelotte | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 25.7% |
Laura Hamilton | 22.2% | 18.2% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
Elizabeth Cutler | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% |
Grace Watlington | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 13.5% |
Ashley Delisser | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% |
Lucy Paskoff | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 10.7% |
Izzy Wu-Karr | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.