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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+2.42vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.26+5.10vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.03vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.45+5.67vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.99+3.08vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.06-1.09vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.81+1.49vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.55-4.20vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.13vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.79-1.22vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.09+0.27vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-4.63vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-3.96vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-0.02-2.92vs Predicted
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15Washington College-0.80-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
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7.1George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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4.03U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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9.67Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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8.08Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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4.91University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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8.49Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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3.8Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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10.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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8.78Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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11.27Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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9.04St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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11.08SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
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12.83Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 22.8% | 20.9% | 17.0% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 17.3% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 0.7% |
| Sofia Segalla | 10.9% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 18.2% | 18.4% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 6.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 17.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 18.1% | 13.7% |
| Imogene Nuss | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 16.7% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.