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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+3.07vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.26+5.10vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55+0.67vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.69-0.54vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+2.23vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+2.90vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.99+1.02vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+2.17vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.06-4.12vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.79-1.28vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.81-2.35vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.45-2.07vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.02-1.79vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.09-2.79vs Predicted
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15Washington College-0.80-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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7.1George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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3.67Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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3.46Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
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7.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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8.9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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8.02Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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10.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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4.88University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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8.72Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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8.65Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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9.93Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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11.21SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
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11.21Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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12.8Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 15.6% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 20.5% | 17.6% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 23.1% | 19.5% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 7.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 10.0% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 5.4% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 16.3% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 16.5% |
| Imogene Nuss | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 18.1% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.