← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.06+3.86vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.99vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+5.70vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.55-0.26vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.69-1.47vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University0.81+2.62vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+0.16vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University1.26-0.76vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.17vs Predicted
-
10Christopher Newport University0.79-1.25vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University0.99-2.93vs Predicted
-
12Washington College-0.80+1.10vs Predicted
-
13Columbia University0.45-3.12vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College-0.02-2.95vs Predicted
-
15Princeton University-0.09-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.86University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
-
3.99U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
-
8.7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
-
3.74Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
-
3.53Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
-
8.62Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
-
7.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
-
7.24George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
-
10.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
-
8.75Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
-
8.07Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
-
13.1Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
-
9.88Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
-
11.05SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
-
11.13Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 12.5% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 16.3% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 19.6% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 21.5% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 6.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| Imogene Nuss | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 17.6% | 46.2% |
| Eva DeCastro | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 6.8% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 13.9% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 18.5% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.