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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+2.74vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University0.81+6.47vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.86vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.99+4.02vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.80+7.85vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+1.20vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+3.08vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.02+3.10vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.69-5.62vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.26-2.71vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.40-6.84vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-2.93vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.79-4.08vs Predicted
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14Columbia University0.45-4.29vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.09-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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8.47Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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4.86University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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8.02Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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12.85Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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7.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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10.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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11.1SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
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3.38Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
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7.29George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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4.16U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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9.07St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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8.92Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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9.71Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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11.15Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 19.9% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Sofia Segalla | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Imogene Nuss | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 46.9% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 6.0% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 17.9% | 15.2% |
| Bridget Green | 22.5% | 19.8% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 16.9% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 2.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Eva DeCastro | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 5.4% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.