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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+2.40vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+5.00vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.00vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.45+5.72vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.55-1.17vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.99+2.10vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.81+1.54vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.26-0.79vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.18vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.80+2.94vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.79-2.27vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.06-6.93vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-3.98vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-0.02-2.91vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.09-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
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7.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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4.0U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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9.72Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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3.83Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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8.1Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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8.54Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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7.21George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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10.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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12.94Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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8.73Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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5.07University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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9.02St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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11.09SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
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11.18Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 24.3% | 20.9% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 16.5% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 1.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 18.5% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 6.4% |
| Imogene Nuss | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 15.4% | 46.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 10.7% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 19.5% | 13.0% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.