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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+2.45vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+1.67vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.26+4.15vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.45+5.73vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+2.16vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.81+2.58vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40-2.91vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.06-3.04vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.19vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.09+1.29vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.79-2.28vs Predicted
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12Washington College-0.80+1.10vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-4.03vs Predicted
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14Fordham University0.99-6.02vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.02-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
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3.67Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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7.15George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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9.73Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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7.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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8.58Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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4.09U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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4.96University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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10.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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11.29Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.72Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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13.1Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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8.97St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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7.98Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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10.95SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 23.8% | 19.8% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 19.8% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Eva DeCastro | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 6.3% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 15.5% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 11.5% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 7.0% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 15.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Imogene Nuss | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 17.2% | 47.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 3.2% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.