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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.22+3.37vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.85+1.53vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.96+2.37vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.65+2.96vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.99+0.25vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.13+1.97vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.13-0.99vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.37-1.22vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.93-3.54vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.52-2.32vs Predicted
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11University of Miami0.48-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37Northeastern University1.2214.1%1st Place
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3.53Brown University1.8523.5%1st Place
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5.37Tufts University0.9610.5%1st Place
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6.96Christopher Newport University0.654.6%1st Place
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5.25University of South Florida0.999.8%1st Place
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7.97University of Vermont-0.133.2%1st Place
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6.01Fordham University1.138.3%1st Place
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6.78Boston University0.376.5%1st Place
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5.46George Washington University0.938.9%1st Place
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7.68Connecticut College0.523.8%1st Place
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6.62University of Miami0.486.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Eva Ermlich | 14.1% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
Laura Hamilton | 23.5% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Marina Garrido | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
Grace Watlington | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 13.9% |
Kalea Woodard | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
Elizabeth Amelotte | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 17.2% | 25.6% |
Elizabeth Cutler | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 5.8% |
Lucy Paskoff | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.5% |
Avery Canavan | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 22.6% |
Ashley Delisser | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.