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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Eva Ermlich 14.1% 15.4% 14.1% 12.6% 11.1% 10.7% 8.1% 7.0% 3.0% 2.8% 1.1%
Laura Hamilton 23.5% 16.5% 15.5% 13.9% 11.2% 7.2% 6.0% 3.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Marina Garrido 10.5% 10.8% 10.6% 10.0% 9.6% 11.7% 10.6% 8.3% 7.8% 6.5% 3.5%
Grace Watlington 4.6% 6.2% 7.5% 7.5% 6.2% 7.8% 10.3% 11.8% 12.0% 12.0% 13.9%
Kalea Woodard 9.8% 11.2% 11.4% 11.1% 11.8% 9.0% 9.9% 9.6% 8.5% 5.5% 2.2%
Elizabeth Amelotte 3.2% 3.7% 4.5% 5.0% 5.9% 6.4% 8.2% 9.2% 11.1% 17.2% 25.6%
Elizabeth Cutler 8.3% 8.3% 8.0% 9.4% 10.1% 10.3% 9.3% 10.1% 10.8% 9.5% 5.8%
Lucy Paskoff 6.5% 6.3% 5.9% 7.1% 8.4% 9.6% 8.9% 10.7% 12.3% 12.8% 11.5%
Avery Canavan 8.9% 10.2% 11.1% 9.6% 11.2% 10.5% 11.2% 9.8% 8.4% 5.7% 3.2%
Izzy Wu-Karr 3.8% 4.5% 4.5% 5.9% 6.5% 7.3% 8.1% 10.4% 11.8% 14.8% 22.6%
Ashley Delisser 6.6% 6.9% 7.0% 8.0% 7.9% 9.4% 9.3% 9.8% 12.0% 12.5% 10.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.