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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University0.99+6.92vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.90vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69+0.45vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.26+3.19vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.79+3.74vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.55-2.27vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40-2.99vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.09+3.23vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.45+0.71vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-2.78vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.02+0.09vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-2.97vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.81-4.19vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-3.86vs Predicted
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15Washington College-0.80-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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4.9University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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3.45Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
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7.19George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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8.74Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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3.73Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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4.01U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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11.23Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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9.71Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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7.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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11.09SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
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9.03St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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8.81Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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10.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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12.83Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lizzie Cochran | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Sofia Segalla | 10.6% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 22.7% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 18.4% | 18.4% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 17.3% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 18.8% | 16.4% |
| Eva DeCastro | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 4.4% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 15.5% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 7.7% |
| Imogene Nuss | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.