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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+2.74vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.82vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.08vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.69-0.58vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+3.79vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.81+2.69vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.99+1.04vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+2.17vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-1.88vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.79-1.24vs Predicted
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11Columbia University0.45-1.26vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.26-4.60vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.02-1.78vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.09-2.81vs Predicted
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15Washington College-0.80-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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4.82University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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4.08U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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3.42Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
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8.79St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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8.69Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.04Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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10.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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7.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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8.76Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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9.74Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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7.4George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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11.22SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
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11.19Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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12.82Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 18.8% | 19.2% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 11.6% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 16.9% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 23.3% | 19.1% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 7.2% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Eva DeCastro | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 16.3% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 14.9% |
| Imogene Nuss | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 17.8% | 44.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.