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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+2.99vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+6.63vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.79vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.81+4.54vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.55-1.16vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.99+2.08vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+0.11vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.79+0.71vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.02+2.07vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.21vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.26-3.72vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.09-0.52vs Predicted
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13Columbia University0.45-3.11vs Predicted
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14Washington College-0.80-1.12vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.69-11.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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8.63St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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4.79University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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8.54Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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3.84Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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8.08Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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7.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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8.71Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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11.07SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
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10.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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7.28George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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11.48Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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9.89Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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12.88Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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3.5Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 17.5% | 18.0% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Sofia Segalla | 11.8% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 17.5% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 13.9% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 8.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 18.9% | 18.1% |
| Eva DeCastro | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 6.4% |
| Imogene Nuss | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 43.7% |
| Bridget Green | 23.9% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.