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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.85+2.60vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.22+2.21vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.99+2.32vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.13+3.82vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.93+0.49vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.96-0.65vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.13-0.97vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.65-1.12vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.37-2.33vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.52-2.13vs Predicted
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11University of Miami0.48-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6Brown University1.8522.6%1st Place
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4.21Northeastern University1.2217.2%1st Place
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5.32University of South Florida0.998.9%1st Place
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7.82University of Vermont-0.133.9%1st Place
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5.49George Washington University0.939.8%1st Place
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5.35Tufts University0.969.7%1st Place
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6.03Fordham University1.138.0%1st Place
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6.88Christopher Newport University0.655.1%1st Place
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6.67Boston University0.376.0%1st Place
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7.87Connecticut College0.523.1%1st Place
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6.76University of Miami0.485.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Laura Hamilton | 22.6% | 17.6% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Eva Ermlich | 17.2% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
Kalea Woodard | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
Elizabeth Amelotte | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 25.2% |
Avery Canavan | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
Marina Garrido | 9.7% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
Elizabeth Cutler | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% |
Grace Watlington | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 13.2% |
Lucy Paskoff | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% |
Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 17.6% | 23.4% |
Ashley Delisser | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.