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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.32+2.58vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.36+1.41vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.63+2.22vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+3.20vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.22+1.50vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+4.42vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.63+1.12vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.04vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.37+1.99vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.92+2.23vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.19-4.36vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-5.63vs Predicted
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13Fordham University-0.08-2.59vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.37-5.10vs Predicted
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15Washington College-2.16-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
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3.41Georgetown University2.360.2%1st Place
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5.22Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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7.2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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6.5George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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10.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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8.12Columbia University0.630.0%1st Place
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5.96University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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10.99SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
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12.23Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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6.64U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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6.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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10.41Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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8.9Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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14.05Washington College-2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 21.9% | 20.6% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 23.7% | 20.2% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 10.5% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 13.0% | 3.5% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 0.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 16.8% | 5.9% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 16.3% | 30.6% | 16.6% |
| Ava Farley | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Deana Fedulova | 5.7% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 4.0% |
| Laura Smith | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Nora Ciak | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 13.2% | 68.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.