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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.22+3.10vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.65+4.33vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont-0.13+4.26vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.96+0.92vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.93+0.07vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.52+1.22vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.85-3.62vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.37-1.79vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.99-4.07vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.13-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1Northeastern University1.2216.1%1st Place
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6.33Christopher Newport University0.656.8%1st Place
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7.26University of Vermont-0.133.9%1st Place
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4.92Tufts University0.9610.5%1st Place
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5.07George Washington University0.9310.2%1st Place
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7.22Connecticut College0.523.6%1st Place
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3.38Brown University1.8523.6%1st Place
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6.21Boston University0.376.3%1st Place
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4.93University of South Florida0.9911.5%1st Place
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5.59Fordham University1.137.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eva Ermlich | 16.1% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
Grace Watlington | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 12.6% |
Elizabeth Amelotte | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 17.5% | 29.1% |
Marina Garrido | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
Avery Canavan | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 26.2% |
Laura Hamilton | 23.6% | 19.1% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
Lucy Paskoff | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 12.6% |
Kalea Woodard | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
Elizabeth Cutler | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.