Race 2A

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Amy Hawkins 20.6% 15.4% 15.7% 11.7% 10.4% 8.9% 6.5% 4.1% 3.7% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Natalie Salk 12.4% 13.1% 12.9% 11.2% 10.9% 8.4% 8.5% 7.6% 6.0% 4.6% 2.8% 1.4% 0.2%
Kelsey Wheeler 8.4% 10.1% 10.4% 9.6% 9.3% 9.2% 9.6% 9.4% 9.4% 6.5% 4.1% 3.3% 0.7%
Devon Rohde 3.3% 4.6% 4.5% 5.7% 6.6% 7.3% 6.4% 8.5% 8.5% 11.3% 12.4% 14.6% 6.3%
Jessica Claflin 8.8% 8.5% 8.6% 9.9% 8.3% 9.2% 8.0% 8.8% 9.3% 8.3% 6.5% 5.0% 0.8%
Alexandra Arntsen 7.9% 6.6% 7.1% 9.2% 7.4% 8.9% 10.5% 8.5% 8.3% 9.9% 7.9% 5.9% 1.9%
Emily Billing 11.3% 11.4% 10.9% 9.5% 11.1% 9.1% 9.0% 8.0% 7.0% 5.5% 4.6% 2.0% 0.6%
Abby Preston 5.3% 7.1% 6.0% 5.8% 7.4% 7.3% 8.9% 8.7% 9.8% 11.0% 10.3% 10.0% 2.4%
Katii Gullick 7.0% 7.9% 8.0% 9.5% 7.4% 8.3% 8.8% 9.9% 9.4% 8.5% 6.3% 7.5% 1.5%
Elizabeth Glivinski 7.6% 5.8% 6.3% 6.7% 9.0% 7.8% 8.7% 8.8% 9.1% 9.2% 9.9% 8.1% 3.0%
Brooke Doyon 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.9% 1.5% 1.7% 2.3% 2.3% 3.5% 5.9% 10.8% 68.9%
Emily McNeil 2.8% 4.1% 3.1% 4.2% 5.7% 6.6% 6.1% 6.8% 8.1% 10.0% 14.3% 18.6% 9.6%
Caitlin Watson 4.0% 4.8% 5.9% 6.6% 5.6% 7.5% 7.3% 8.6% 9.1% 10.1% 14.0% 12.4% 4.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.