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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.46+1.18vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+0.47vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-2.96+2.77vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-2.11+0.45vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-2.84+0.59vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-3.21+0.12vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-3.23-0.85vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.33-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18Columbia University-0.460.4%1st Place
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2.47SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.3%1st Place
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5.77University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
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4.45SUNY Stony Brook-2.110.1%1st Place
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5.59Syracuse University-2.840.0%1st Place
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6.12U. S. Military Academy-3.210.0%1st Place
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6.15Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
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3.27Rutgers University-1.330.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase O'Malley | 36.7% | 29.8% | 20.0% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 28.6% | 28.4% | 20.8% | 14.0% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brendan van Riper | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 17.5% | 22.7% | 21.1% |
| Sophia Dimont | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 21.0% | 19.2% | 18.2% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 12.1% | 17.6% | 19.5% | 22.4% | 14.9% |
| Gus Hankinson | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 19.9% | 29.8% |
| Julia Marich | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 23.1% | 29.8% |
| Andrew Martin | 15.5% | 17.9% | 25.3% | 19.5% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.