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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+1.45vs Predicted
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2Columbia University-0.46+0.16vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-2.96+2.74vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-2.84+1.61vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-3.23+1.18vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-2.11-1.57vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.33-3.65vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy-3.21-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.3%1st Place
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2.16Columbia University-0.460.4%1st Place
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5.74University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
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5.61Syracuse University-2.840.0%1st Place
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6.18Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
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4.43SUNY Stony Brook-2.110.1%1st Place
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3.35Rutgers University-1.330.2%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Military Academy-3.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 30.0% | 26.1% | 24.1% | 12.0% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Chase O'Malley | 37.5% | 29.7% | 17.8% | 10.1% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan van Riper | 2.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 19.4% | 22.2% | 20.6% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 20.0% | 18.8% | 18.4% |
| Julia Marich | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 21.7% | 30.7% |
| Sophia Dimont | 7.2% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 18.7% | 20.8% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 3.7% |
| Andrew Martin | 15.1% | 17.5% | 22.6% | 21.5% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Gus Hankinson | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 22.6% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.