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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.46+1.12vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University-1.33+1.31vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-0.55vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-2.96+1.79vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-2.11-0.55vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-2.84-0.42vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-3.23-0.79vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy-3.21-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Columbia University-0.460.4%1st Place
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3.31Rutgers University-1.330.1%1st Place
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2.45SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.3%1st Place
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5.79University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
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4.45SUNY Stony Brook-2.110.1%1st Place
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5.58Syracuse University-2.840.0%1st Place
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6.21Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
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6.07U. S. Military Academy-3.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase O'Malley | 39.8% | 28.4% | 17.5% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Martin | 14.9% | 18.1% | 24.8% | 18.3% | 13.7% | 7.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 28.1% | 29.4% | 22.1% | 13.0% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Brendan van Riper | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 23.6% | 20.2% |
| Sophia Dimont | 6.3% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 21.0% | 19.6% | 16.5% | 9.7% | 3.7% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 21.4% | 18.7% | 17.1% |
| Julia Marich | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 22.4% | 32.0% |
| Gus Hankinson | 1.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 23.1% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.