← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Columbia University-0.46+1.12vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+0.49vs Predicted
-
3University of Delaware-2.96+2.75vs Predicted
-
4Rutgers University-1.33-0.70vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Military Academy-3.21+1.16vs Predicted
-
6Syracuse University-2.84-0.42vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Stony Brook-2.11-2.49vs Predicted
-
8Monmouth University-3.23-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.12Columbia University-0.460.4%1st Place
-
2.49SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.3%1st Place
-
5.75University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
-
3.3Rutgers University-1.330.1%1st Place
-
6.16U. S. Military Academy-3.210.0%1st Place
-
5.58Syracuse University-2.840.0%1st Place
-
4.51SUNY Stony Brook-2.110.1%1st Place
-
6.09Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase O'Malley | 38.7% | 29.5% | 18.9% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 28.0% | 29.0% | 21.1% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brendan van Riper | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 22.4% | 21.1% |
| Andrew Martin | 14.9% | 18.0% | 23.3% | 22.5% | 12.5% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Gus Hankinson | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 23.5% | 29.0% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 20.6% | 19.0% | 17.1% |
| Sophia Dimont | 6.9% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 19.3% | 21.3% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 5.4% |
| Julia Marich | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 21.4% | 21.3% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.