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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+1.41vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-2.96+3.82vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-1.33+0.25vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-2.11+0.49vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.46-2.83vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-3.23+0.15vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-3.21-0.84vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-2.84-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.3%1st Place
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5.82University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
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3.25Rutgers University-1.330.2%1st Place
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4.49SUNY Stony Brook-2.110.1%1st Place
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2.17Columbia University-0.460.4%1st Place
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6.15Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
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6.16U. S. Military Academy-3.210.0%1st Place
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5.55Syracuse University-2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 30.4% | 27.6% | 22.6% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brendan van Riper | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 23.6% | 20.8% |
| Andrew Martin | 15.5% | 18.5% | 24.6% | 19.8% | 13.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Sophia Dimont | 6.3% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 20.1% | 20.0% | 18.1% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
| Chase O'Malley | 38.3% | 26.8% | 20.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julia Marich | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 13.7% | 18.8% | 21.8% | 29.0% |
| Gus Hankinson | 2.8% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 23.0% | 30.7% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 2.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 21.9% | 19.5% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.