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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Rose von Eckartsberg 22.8% 21.8% 17.4% 14.9% 11.6% 6.4% 2.9% 1.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Andrew Martin 12.3% 12.5% 14.6% 16.4% 13.2% 15.4% 9.5% 3.7% 1.9% 0.5%
Gus Hankinson 2.3% 2.2% 1.9% 4.1% 5.2% 5.9% 11.5% 15.1% 21.4% 30.4%
Niall Powers Ozyurt 14.5% 16.3% 18.0% 17.0% 13.8% 9.5% 7.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Brendan van Riper 2.1% 3.8% 4.3% 5.0% 6.6% 8.7% 12.6% 18.3% 19.7% 18.9%
Chase O'Malley 30.4% 22.5% 19.8% 12.1% 9.0% 4.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Julia Marich 1.6% 1.7% 2.2% 3.4% 5.5% 7.6% 9.9% 17.5% 22.7% 27.9%
Alice Kilkelly 2.3% 3.7% 4.1% 5.9% 8.2% 9.1% 14.9% 17.4% 18.5% 15.9%
Sophia Dimont 5.4% 5.8% 7.9% 10.6% 13.1% 15.8% 16.0% 13.5% 7.7% 4.2%
Julia Gordon 6.3% 9.7% 9.8% 10.6% 13.8% 17.3% 14.5% 9.5% 6.5% 2.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.