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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+2.13vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University-1.33+2.23vs Predicted
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3U. S. Military Academy-3.21+4.88vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology-1.06-0.24vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-2.96+2.29vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.46-3.31vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-3.23+0.91vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-2.84-0.90vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-2.11-3.25vs Predicted
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10Villanova University-1.87-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.2%1st Place
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4.23Rutgers University-1.330.1%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Military Academy-3.210.0%1st Place
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3.76Stevens Institute of Technology-1.060.1%1st Place
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7.29University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
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2.69Columbia University-0.460.3%1st Place
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7.91Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
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7.1Syracuse University-2.840.0%1st Place
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5.75SUNY Stony Brook-2.110.1%1st Place
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5.26Villanova University-1.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 22.8% | 21.8% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Martin | 12.3% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Gus Hankinson | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 21.4% | 30.4% |
| Niall Powers Ozyurt | 14.5% | 16.3% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brendan van Riper | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 18.3% | 19.7% | 18.9% |
| Chase O'Malley | 30.4% | 22.5% | 19.8% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Julia Marich | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 17.5% | 22.7% | 27.9% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 18.5% | 15.9% |
| Sophia Dimont | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 7.7% | 4.2% |
| Julia Gordon | 6.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.