Race 3A

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katii Gullick 7.4% 7.1% 8.5% 8.6% 9.5% 8.2% 9.5% 8.7% 10.1% 9.0% 7.0% 5.1% 1.3%
Alexandra Arntsen 6.6% 6.8% 7.4% 8.4% 7.8% 8.8% 9.7% 7.8% 9.7% 9.4% 10.0% 5.9% 1.7%
Emily Billing 9.0% 10.5% 11.2% 10.6% 11.4% 9.2% 8.6% 9.8% 6.3% 5.5% 5.2% 2.5% 0.2%
Kelsey Wheeler 9.0% 9.3% 10.2% 10.8% 9.2% 10.6% 8.9% 7.7% 7.9% 7.4% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7%
Natalie Salk 13.4% 14.3% 11.1% 11.0% 9.6% 8.8% 9.8% 7.6% 5.9% 4.0% 2.7% 1.6% 0.2%
Amy Hawkins 19.5% 19.2% 16.2% 9.8% 9.4% 8.6% 6.5% 4.3% 3.5% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Jessica Claflin 10.0% 7.6% 8.0% 9.4% 7.6% 8.9% 10.1% 9.7% 7.9% 7.8% 7.2% 4.8% 1.0%
Emily McNeil 3.1% 4.0% 4.9% 4.4% 4.7% 6.1% 5.2% 8.2% 9.2% 9.8% 13.7% 20.9% 5.8%
Abby Preston 6.0% 5.2% 5.6% 5.7% 7.1% 7.8% 8.5% 9.2% 8.8% 10.9% 10.7% 11.0% 3.5%
Caitlin Watson 5.3% 5.7% 4.2% 6.4% 8.2% 7.2% 7.4% 8.8% 9.5% 9.0% 10.7% 12.8% 4.8%
Devon Rohde 4.1% 4.2% 6.1% 5.8% 6.4% 6.6% 7.3% 8.8% 9.7% 10.7% 12.1% 12.7% 5.5%
Elizabeth Glivinski 5.9% 5.5% 6.4% 8.0% 7.9% 8.2% 7.2% 7.8% 9.4% 12.4% 9.4% 9.4% 2.5%
Brooke Doyon 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 1.3% 1.6% 2.1% 2.8% 4.3% 10.3% 72.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.